Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.023884 0.028828 0.034021 0.039840 0.046140 0.052719 0.060075
2025-11-30 0.016405 0.023319 0.031138 0.040429 0.050991 0.062472 0.075757
2025-12-07 0.011973 0.019935 0.029558 0.041546 0.055671 0.071457 0.090134
2025-12-14 0.009287 0.017956 0.029065 0.043439 0.060840 0.080671 0.104496
2025-12-21 0.006876 0.015758 0.027873 0.044137 0.064317 0.087718 0.116201
2025-12-28 0.006128 0.015732 0.029358 0.048047 0.071559 0.099082 0.132813
2026-01-04 0.003997 0.013049 0.026920 0.046702 0.072193 0.102507 0.140087
2026-01-11 0.002924 0.011816 0.026318 0.047602 0.075491 0.109015 0.150893
2026-01-18 0.001971 0.010469 0.025363 0.047894 0.077926 0.114411 0.160325
2026-01-25 0.001283 0.009369 0.024632 0.048388 0.080541 0.119967 0.169902
2026-02-01 0.000712 0.008178 0.023590 0.048337 0.082372 0.124508 0.178219
2026-02-08 0.000191 0.006365 0.021216 0.046190 0.081321 0.125386 0.182047
2026-02-15 0.000003 0.004836 0.019119 0.044390 0.080776 0.127017 0.186983
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004264 0.018762 0.045196 0.083759 0.133117 0.197419
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003867 0.018692 0.046419 0.087299 0.139922 0.208726
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003716 0.019129 0.048433 0.091928 0.148115 0.221746
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003265 0.018799 0.049172 0.094762 0.154000 0.231913
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003665 0.020535 0.053305 0.102362 0.166020 0.249674
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002763 0.018935 0.051885 0.102119 0.167921 0.254899
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002463 0.018783 0.052835 0.105204 0.174103 0.265421
2026-04-12 NaN 0.002072 0.018277 0.053144 0.107350 0.179053 0.274400
2026-04-19 NaN 0.001762 0.017915 0.053665 0.109780 0.184359 0.283816
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001399 0.017253 0.053611 0.111349 0.188520 0.291782